NEWS

18.02.2015
Nuclear weapons: Ending a threat to humanity
Speech given by Peter Maurer President of the International Committee of the Red Cross
ICRC headquarters, Geneva

This year is the 70th anniversary of the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki - events that have left an indelible mark on humanity's conscience and consciousness.

I was in Hiroshima last week. I visited the Peace Memorial Museum and spoke to hibakusha -survivors. 70 years after the nuclear bombs were dropped on these cities, the lives of the survivors, the lives of countless people in Japan, are still overshadowed by these two watershed events in the history of modern warfare.

This year's 70th anniversary is a forceful reminder of the catastrophic and lasting human cost of nuclear weapons. It is a stark reminder of the incineration of two cities and their inhabitants. For the survivors, it is a reminder of the burns, blindness and blast injuries that went untreated because the medical infrastructure had been destroyed; of the slow and painful deaths; of the suffering endured by those who were exposed to radiation and 70 years later are still being treated for cancers and other diseases.

Seventy years ago, ICRC and Japanese Red Cross staff worked in unimaginable conditions to aid the victims and relieve the suffering caused by the atomic blasts. But how could we treat victims when hospitals had been reduced to rubble and ash and their medical supplies contaminated? The Japanese Red Cross Hospital, 1.5 kilometres from the hypocentre of the Hiroshima bomb, was somehow still standing after the explosion. There, doctors and nurses from the Japanese Red Cross did what they could. But it was clearly not enough to alleviate the suffering of those affected by the blast.

Based on these experiences, the ICRC concluded as early as September 1945 that the humanitarian consequences of nuclear weapons were simply unacceptable. From a humanitarian perspective, nuclear weapons should be abolished. Later, the ICRC, along with the broader Red Cross and Red Crescent Movement, called on States to reach an agreement to prohibit nuclear weapons.

Throughout history, humanitarian disasters have often been the catalyst for the adoption of new laws to prevent further suffering, deaths and atrocities in war. One such example was the use of poison gas in the First World War, which led to the adoption of the 1925 Geneva Protocol and the subsequent banning of chemical and biological weapons.

Yet today, 70 years after Hiroshima and Nagasaki - names that recall humanitarian disasters like no other - clear progress towards the prohibition and elimination of nuclear weapons is lacking. Nuclear weapons are the one weapon of mass destruction on which we are still confronted with a legal gap.

We recognize the efforts that have been made and the fundamental importance of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) and all the commitments it contains, as well as other efforts to advance nuclear disarmament. But in light of the potential humanitarian consequences, progress in the field of disarmament is, as of now, insufficient.

Five years ago my predecessor forcefully reiterated the ICRC's call for the non-use and elimination of nuclear weapons. The UN Security Council Summit and the US and Russian presidents had the previous year committed to "create the conditions for a world without nuclear weapons."

We were heartened that in May 2010 all NPT States Parties recognized, for the first time, the "catastrophic humanitarian consequences of any use of nuclear weapons" and that nuclear-weapon States Parties committed to accelerating progress on the steps leading to nuclear disarmament and to undertaking further efforts to reduce and ultimately eliminate all types of nuclear weapons.

I have invited the diplomatic community back here today because the ICRC is gravely concerned that these undertakings are at risk.

In three months' time the commitment to move towards a world without nuclear weapons will again be addressed in the framework of the NPT Review Conference. This is a pivotal moment for the Treaty and for efforts to ensure that nuclear weapons are never again used. Much has happened since the last Review Conference. There are new developments and perspectives that the ICRC believes States must take into account as they prepare for the Conference and for any future work to address the dangers of nuclear weapons.

The Review Conference will have before it extensive and, in some areas, new information on the humanitarian consequences of nuclear weapons. Thanks to the conferences held in Oslo, Nayarit and Vienna, the international community now has a much clearer grasp of the risk that nuclear weapons might be used or accidentally detonated and the effects that such an event would have on people and societies around the globe, as well as on the environment.

These conferences have confirmed and expanded what the ICRC learned from its experience in Hiroshima. Here are some of the key points that we take away from these meetings:
  • Nuclear weapons are unique in their destructive power and in the scale of human suffering they cause. Their use, even on a limited scale, would have catastrophic and long-lasting consequences for human health, the environment, the climate, food production and socioeconomic development.
  • The health impacts of these weapons can last for decades and impact the children of survivors through genetic damage to their parents. This has been evident where nuclear weapons have been both used and tested. We could not have imagined that Japanese Red Cross hospitals would still be treating victims of cancer and leukaemia attributable to radiation from the atomic blasts - today, 70 years on.
  • Seventy years after the dawn of the "nuclear age," there is no effective or feasible means of assisting a substantial portion of survivors in the immediate aftermath of a nuclear detonation, while adequately protecting those delivering assistance, in most countries or at the international level.
  • The humanitarian consequences of a nuclear-weapon detonation would not be limited to the country where it occurs but would impact other countries and their populations. Thus, the continued existence of nuclear weapons and the risk of their intentional or accidental use is and must be a global concern.

Testimonies by nuclear experts and former nuclear force officers have shown that accidental nuclear-weapon detonations remain a very real danger. Malfunctions, mishaps, false alarms and misinterpreted information have nearly led to the intentional or accidental detonation of nuclear weapons on numerous occasions since 1945. The non-use of nuclear weapons over the past 70 years provides no assurance that such weapons will not be used in the future. Only the prohibition and elimination of nuclear weapons can prevent the severe humanitarian consequences that would entail.

In reality, the growing number of States that possess nuclear weapons and the potential for non-State actors to acquire them or related materials increases the risk of both deliberate and accidental detonations. The fact that an estimated 1,800 nuclear warheads remain on "high alert" status, ready to be launched within minutes, further amplifies those risks. Calls since the end of the Cold War to reverse such policies have unfortunately gone unheeded.

The information acquired since the last NPT Review Conference has increased the ICRC's concerns about nuclear weapons. In our view, these findings have significant implications for the assessment of nuclear weapons under the fundamental rules of international humanitarian law. The new information about the health and environmental effects and the absence of an adequate assistance capacity in most countries should trigger a reassessment of nuclear weapons by all States in both legal and policy terms.

Already in 1996, in response to the Advisory Opinion of the International Court of Justice, the ICRC concluded that "it is difficult to envisage how any use of nuclear weapons could be compatible with the requirements of international humanitarian law."

The evidence that has emerged since only strengthens these doubts. With every new piece of information, we move further away from any hypothetical scenario where the humanitarian consequences of the use of nuclear weapons could be compatible with international humanitarian law. This leads us, time and again, to the conclusion that the use of nuclear weapons must be prohibited and the weapons eliminated altogether.

The ICRC believes that reducing the risk of nuclear-weapon use and ensuring their elimination through a legally binding international agreement is a humanitarian imperative.

Significant steps have already been taken. States with the largest stockpiles of nuclear weapons have, since the end of the Cold War, significantly reduced the number of warheads that they possess. The 2010 New START treaty will further reduce the number of deployed nuclear weapons. Important steps have also been taken to increase security for nuclear materials. 115 States have signed treaties establishing nuclear-weapon-free zones and nearly all countries have committed to refrain from testing nuclear weapons by joining the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty or by establishing moratoria on nuclear testing.

However, other trends since 2010 give reason for grave concern. There is no evidence of negotiations for "rapid reductions" of nuclear weapons and even fewer signs of momentum towards their "total elimination." Reports that the pace of reduction of nuclear arsenals has slowed and of the modernization of nuclear weapons by some States raise concerns that their role in security policies is not actually being reduced and may provide incentives for proliferation.

The 70th anniversary of the first use of nuclear weapons is the moment to signal that the era of nuclear weapons is coming to an end and that the threat of these weapons will be forever banished. It is the time to draw legal, political and operational conclusions from what has been learned about those "catastrophic humanitarian consequences" that States party to the Non-Proliferation Treaty recognized five years ago.

In 2011, the Council of Delegates of the International Red Cross and Red Crescent Movement appealed to all States "to ensure that nuclear weapons are never again used" and "to prohibit the use of and completely eliminate nuclear weapons through a legally binding international agreement, based on existing commitments and international obligations."

I echo that call here today. The ICRC also appeals to States to fulfil the commitments contained in Article 6 of the NPT by establishing a time-bound framework to negotiate a legally binding agreement - and to consider the form that such an agreement could take. The catastrophic humanitarian consequences of nuclear weapons and current trends are too serious to ignore. The prohibition and elimination of these weapons through a legally binding agreement is the only guarantee that they will never be used again.

States Parties should make the NPT Review Conference this May a turning point for decision-making and progress in this area.

Until the very last nuclear weapon is eliminated, more also needs to be done to diminish the immediate risks of intentional or accidental nuclear detonations. We call on States that possess nuclear weapons and their allies to take further concrete steps to reduce the role and significance of nuclear weapons in their military plans, doctrines and policies. We urge nuclear-armed States to reduce the number of warheads on high alert and to be more transparent about action taken to prevent accidental detonations. Many of these steps derive from long-standing political commitments and multilateral action plans and should be followed through as a matter of urgency.
Protecting humanity from the catastrophic humanitarian consequences of nuclear weapons requires courage, sustained commitment and concerted action. Today's complex security environment highlights both the challenges and necessity of such action. Nuclear weapons are often presented as promoting security, particularly during times of international instability. But weapons that risk catastrophic and irreversible humanitarian consequences cannot seriously be viewed as protecting civilians or humanity as a whole.

We know now more than ever before that the risks are too high, the dangers too real. It is time for States, and all those of us in a position to influence them, to act with urgency and determination to bring the era of nuclear weapons to an end.


Key messages and background information are provided below to assist you in these efforts.

Background


The debate on the ongoing threat of nuclear weapons has evolved and intensified significantly since ICRC President Kellenberger gave a landmark speech on this issue in April 2010. The efforts of the Red Cross and Red Crescent Movement, civil society organizations and a large number of States to highlight the humanitarian consequences of nuclear weapons have been highly successful. The international conferences on the humanitarian impact of nuclear weapons - held in Oslo, Nayarit (Mexico) and Vienna in 2013 and 2014 - have provided important new information on the immediate and long-term effects of nuclear weapons. There is now wide acknowledgement that the detonation of even a limited number of nuclear weapons would provoke a severe humanitarian crisis to which no adequate international assistance response exists or is feasible. The result is that today a large number States (155 in October 2014) have joined together to stress the catastrophic humanitarian consequences of any use of nuclear weapons and to argue that these concerns warrant a greater effort to achieve nuclear disarmament.

The next multilateral event addressing nuclear weapons is the 2015 Review Conference for the Treaty on the Non-proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), which will be held 27 April -22 May in New York. This will be a pivotal moment for the Treaty and for efforts to ensure that nuclear weapons are never again used. Much has happened since the last Review Conference in 2010. There are new developments and perspectives that the ICRC believes States must take into account as they prepare for the Conference and for any future work to address the dangers of nuclear weapons.

The NPT has been in force since 1970 and has 190 States Parties. (Only India, Israel, Pakistan and South Sudan are not parties to the NPT. In 2003, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) announced its withdrawal from the NPT in a public statement. NPT States Parties have divergent views on the status of the DPRK under the NPT.)

The weeks between the President Maurer's statement on nuclear weapons (18 Feb) and the start of the NPT Review Conference (27 April) provide a timely opportunity for National Societies to share, as appropriate, the Movement's concerns and ICRC's views on nuclear weapons (based on resolution 1 of the 2011 and 2013 Council of Delegates and the latest speech by the ICRC President). The following are key messages from the speech that can be used in those efforts.

I. Key messages for contacts with government officials
  • ICRC welcomes the fact that, for the first time in the nuclear age, States have expanded the discourse on nuclear weapons and are focussing on their humanitarian impact. These discussions echo the ICRC's and the Movement's concerns about the consequences of any use of nuclear weapons, in particular the large numbers of civilian casualties that are likely to occur and the lack of capacity at national and international levels to provide any adequate humanitarian response to such use.
  • The NPT Review Conference will have before it extensive and, in some areas, new information (see part II below) on the humanitarian consequences of nuclear weapons. Thanks to conferences on the humanitarian impact of nuclear weapons held in Oslo, Nayarit and Vienna, the international community now has a much clearer grasp of the risk that such weapons might be used or accidentally detonated and the effects that such an event would have on people and societies around the globe, as well as on the environment.
  • The findings of the Oslo, Nayarit and Vienna conferences have significant implications for the assessment of nuclear weapons under the fundamental rules of international humanitarian law. The new information about the health and environmental effects and the absence of an adequate assistance capacity in most countries should trigger a reassessment of nuclear weapons by all States in both legal and policy terms.
  • The humanitarian consequences of a nuclear weapon detonation would not be limited to the country where it occurs but will impact other States and their populations. Thus, the continued existence of nuclear weapons and the risk of their intentional or accidental use must be a global concern.
  • The ICRC believes that reducing the risk of nuclear weapon use and ensuring their elimination through a legally binding international agreement is a humanitarian imperative.
  • In 2011, the Council of Delegates of the International Red Cross and Red Crescent Movement appealed to all States "to ensure that nuclear weapons are never again used" and "to prohibit the use of and completely eliminate nuclear weapons through a legally binding international agreement, based on existing commitments and international obligations". The ICRC President reiterated this appeal and today also called on States to establish a time bound framework to negotiate such a legally binding agreement and to consider the form that such an agreement could take. In the ICRC's view, the catastrophic humanitarian consequences of nuclear weapons should no longer be ignored and the prohibition and elimination of these weapons is the only way to ensure that they will never be used again.

II. Reactive messages

What are the humanitarian consequences from a nuclear weapon detonation?
Nuclear weapons are unique in their destructive power and in the scale of human suffering they cause. They produce a combination of explosive blast, heat and radiation. These forces will kill and injure massive numbers of people, obliterate homes, buildings and infrastructure. They can also have severe consequences for the environment. The detonation of a nuclear weapon will have a major impact on the health of anyone directly affected and will present serious risks for anyone bringing aid to the survivors in the immediate aftermath.
The health impacts of these weapons can last for decades and impact the children of survivors through genetic damage to their parents. This has been evident both where nuclear weapons have been used and tested. We could not have imagined that Japanese Red Cross hospitals would still be treating victims of cancer and leukaemia attributable to radiation from the atomic blasts - today, 70 years after these weapons were used.

What is the new information that has come out of the Oslo, Nayarit and Vienna meetings?
  • Recent research has projected that even the use of a limited number of nuclear weapons in population centers would, in addition to their direct effects, have severe consequences for global food production. A regional nuclear war in which 100 Hiroshima-sized nuclear weapons (a mere 0.5% of current arsenals) were used would cause global temperatures to decline and dramatically shorten the growing season in key agricultural areas. Food supplies globally would be severely disrupted. The consequences of a larger conflict would be proportionally more severe.
  • Studies by the ICRC and a 2014 survey of capacities within the UN system have shown that an effective means of assisting a substantial portion of survivors in the immediate aftermath of a nuclear detonation, while adequately protecting those delivering assistance, is still not available, and is probably not feasible, at the international level.
  • There is a better understanding of the risks of accidental detonation or unintended use of nuclear weapons. Recent research has shown that malfunctions, mishaps, false alarms and misinterpreted information have nearly led to the intentional or accidental detonation of nuclear weapons on numerous occasions since 1945. Such detonations remain a very real danger.

What does the ICRC mean when it calls for "a time bound process" to negotiate a legally binding agreement to prohibit the use of and completely eliminate nuclear weapons?
The ICRC, and the Movement more generally, have called on States to develop a legally binding instrument to prohibit the use of and completely eliminate nuclear weapons based on existing commitments and obligations (2011 Council of Delegate's resolution). Under Article 6 of the NPT, States Parties are required to pursue negotiations on measures relating to ending the nuclear arms race and to nuclear disarmament. The International Court of Justice also found unanimously in its Advisory Opinion on the Legality of Threat or Use of Nuclear Weapons that there is a customary legal obligation to pursue negotiations leading to nuclear disarmament.

The call of the ICRC President on 18 February for a "time bound process" highlights that the ICRC believes that adequate information is now available about humanitarian consequences of nuclear weapon use and the risk of this occurring and that we believe States should now commit themselves to a time frame for such negotiations to begin and a deadline for their conclusion. Previous general commitments to pursuit of nuclear disarmament have not produced adequate progress towards fulfillment of this legally binding commitment (made already in 1972 in article 6 of the NPT and repeated on numerous occasions before and since the end of the Cold War.

The ICRC does not have any specific time period to propose but would like to see such negotiations start as soon as possible. Likewise, the ICRC does not have a view on where such negotiations should take place (i.e. within the existing disarmament bodies, such as the NPT, Conference on Disarmament, UN General Assembly, or in a separate process). The decision on where to conduct such negotiations is a decision for States. We do however, consider that the consequences of any use of nuclear weapons are unacceptable, that the risk of use occurring are real and that the lack of progress in this field increases the risks and provides incentives for further proliferation of such weapons.